The Race for NYC Council Speaker: A Power Struggle in the Shadows

While the mayoral race dominates headlines, a quieter battle is brewing: the race for the next NYC Council Speaker. Several candidates are vying for the position, each with their own strengths and alliances.

Key Contenders:

• Julie Menin: Manhattan Council Member with experience leading city agencies and spearheading the 2020 Census outreach.
• Crystal Hudson: Brooklyn Council Member and former council staffer, known for her prolific work.
• Amanda Farías: Bronx Council Member and current Majority Leader, also a former council staffer.
• Carmen De La Rosa: Council Member also running for the position.
• Kevin Riley: Council Member considering a run.
• Chris Marte: Council Member who has done outreach regarding a potential candidacy.

The influence of the next mayor on this race remains uncertain. Zohran Mamdani, the frontrunner for mayor, has skillfully avoided endorsing any candidate, stating his focus remains on the mayoral election. This strategic ambiguity underscores the delicate balance for a mayor; strong-arming the race risks alienating members, while inaction might lead to a speaker who hinders their agenda. A strategist notes that the mayor's approach is less ideological and more about strategic maneuvering.

Ideological Considerations:

The candidates' political leanings are also a factor. Menin, not affiliated with the council's Progressive Caucus, could offer a counterbalance to a potential Mayor Mamdani. However, she shares some goals with Mamdani, such as universal child care. Other candidates, while not as far-left as Mamdani, could still find common ground with a progressive administration.

The path for a moderate speaker under a potential Mamdani mayor isn't clear-cut. Past instances of mayors and speakers sharing similar ideologies are notable (e.g., De Blasio and Mark-Viverito). But the significance of a potential ideological counterbalance in the current context is debated.

The Role of Outside Influence:

Labor unions and county Democratic parties historically wield significant influence despite the Speaker being chosen by the council members themselves. While some members express a desire to reduce outside pressure, the influence of these groups is expected to persist. Menin's strong relationships with labor unions like the Hotel and Gaming Trades Council and 32BJ SEIU are seen as assets in her campaign.

The Unknown Factor:

As demonstrated in the 2021 speaker's race, unexpected outcomes are possible. The final decision, effectively made in December, will depend on the intricate interplay of political maneuvering, alliances, and the candidates' ability to secure support within the council.