NYC 2025 Mayoral Race: Cuomo Maintains Lead in Latest Polls
Recent polls show Andrew Cuomo leading in the hypothetical first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary. However, he hasn't consistently cleared the 50% threshold needed to avoid a ranked-choice voting runoff.
Poll Results Summary
The following table summarizes key findings from various polls conducted between February and June 2024:
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Pollster</th>
<th>1st Round (Cuomo Lead)</th>
<th>Final Round (Ranked Choice, Cuomo Lead)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Expedition Strategies</td>
<td>+12</td>
<td>+12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Data for Progress</td>
<td>+7</td>
<td>+2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Emerson College</td>
<td>+12</td>
<td>+9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Workbench Strategies</td>
<td>+13</td>
<td>+12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honan Strategy Group (multiple polls)</td>
<td>+21, +28, +27, +26</td>
<td>+22, +28, +32, N/A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SurveyUSA</td>
<td>+32</td>
<td>N/A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marist College</td>
<td>+22</td>
<td>+20</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Siena College</td>
<td>+18</td>
<td>+28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Data for Progress (March)</td>
<td>+30</td>
<td>+40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Quinnipiac University</td>
<td>+20</td>
<td>N/A</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Citizen Data</td>
<td>+20</td>
<td>N/A</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
*Note: 'N/A' indicates the poll did not simulate ranked-choice voting results.
While Cuomo holds a lead, Zohran Mamdani is gaining ground, especially when considering voters' second choices in ranked-choice simulations. However, in most scenarios, Cuomo still seems likely to win, even with ranked-choice voting.
Methodology Note
The New York Times considered only polls meeting specific criteria for accuracy and methodology. Polls conducted by partisan organizations are clearly labeled.
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