NYC 2025 Mayoral Race: Cuomo Maintains Lead in Latest Polls

Recent polls show Andrew Cuomo leading in the hypothetical first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary. However, he hasn't consistently cleared the 50% threshold needed to avoid a ranked-choice voting runoff.

Poll Results Summary

The following table summarizes key findings from various polls conducted between February and June 2024:

<table> <thead> <tr> <th>Pollster</th> <th>1st Round (Cuomo Lead)</th> <th>Final Round (Ranked Choice, Cuomo Lead)</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Expedition Strategies</td> <td>+12</td> <td>+12</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Data for Progress</td> <td>+7</td> <td>+2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Emerson College</td> <td>+12</td> <td>+9</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Workbench Strategies</td> <td>+13</td> <td>+12</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Honan Strategy Group (multiple polls)</td> <td>+21, +28, +27, +26</td> <td>+22, +28, +32, N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>SurveyUSA</td> <td>+32</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Marist College</td> <td>+22</td> <td>+20</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Siena College</td> <td>+18</td> <td>+28</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Data for Progress (March)</td> <td>+30</td> <td>+40</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Quinnipiac University</td> <td>+20</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Citizen Data</td> <td>+20</td> <td>N/A</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>

*Note: 'N/A' indicates the poll did not simulate ranked-choice voting results.

While Cuomo holds a lead, Zohran Mamdani is gaining ground, especially when considering voters' second choices in ranked-choice simulations. However, in most scenarios, Cuomo still seems likely to win, even with ranked-choice voting.

Methodology Note

The New York Times considered only polls meeting specific criteria for accuracy and methodology. Polls conducted by partisan organizations are clearly labeled.